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  • SharkCircle 7:00 pm on July 8, 2014 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: advanced stats errors, , , , , , NHL Advanced Stats, , , , Should the Sharks trade Thornton and Marleau?   

    My Thoughts On Thornton, Marleau, and The Sharks Future (DR, Part Three) 

    Follow me @SharkCircle

    Here is the third and final part in the blog-series Diverging Realities. You can read Part One here, and Part Two here. Please enjoy part three!

    After the first two parts of Diverging Realities where I talked about the all the divides and contradictions among fans in terms of what other people believe, some of you reading may have had the thought, WELL WHAT DO YOU BELIEVE IN, EXACTLY! WHO ARE YOU! DO YOU EVEN BELIEVE IN ANYTHING AT ALL?

    So to answer that thought, well… Hi, I’m Shark Circle. And I believe in marmalade on a hot summer’s day.

    Oh, you meant when it comes to hockey? And in this case, analyzing the Sharks? How about, I believe in… noticing what happens in the moment, and then what that moment turns into the past, I believe in remembering what I noticed. Because, you see, memories in sports can be fickle. Especially complex sports like hockey. There are hundreds of “events” every game (thousands, really), so most people don’t remember the details of a playoff series that happened five years ago. It’s not like football where you can just point to a couple of plays that decided the Superbowl or a playoff game. But for all the “fancy” stats available today, I remember some “simple” stats, not to mention performances, from past playoff-years that have colored my opinions on Joe Thornton and Patrick Marlaeu as much as anything else. CLICK HERE TO CONTINUE READING FULL POST!

  • SharkCircle 3:11 am on February 17, 2013 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Corsi issues, Fenwick, Fenwick issues, , NHL Advanced Stats, NHL Bad stats, NHL Flawed Stats, NHL Statistical Analysis, Scoring Chance Project, , Tom Gilbert Analysis, Tom Gilbert Corsi   

    Beware of Advanced Stats In The Hands of Less-Advanced Statisticians: The Fallacycy of Tom-aruhi Gilbert-miya 

    Follow me @SharkCircle

    If you’re not familiar with the animé the title is referencing, just pretend I titled it “The Tom Gilbert Fallacy Saga” or that I made a Vampire Diaries joke instead. Something like that was the more sensible title I was going to go with before I decided to be ridiculous instead.

    Always choose ridiculous.

    I should probably hashtag that. And maybe copyright it for an ad campaign, maybe for like a Katy Perry fashion line.

    “Always Choose Ridiculous™” © 2013 – 2050. There. I’ve covered all my bases. Copyrighted. Katy Perry here I come!

    Please don’t read that the wrong way.

    Anyway, (changes to official sounding voice), hello and welcome to a series of blogs I will be doing over the next year, looking at some of the misinformation going around the hockey blogosphere under the guise of “advanced statistics.” My stance on these “advanced statistics” such as corsi-based stats is that they are helpful tools which, when used correctly, can tell you certain things about teams and players that traditional NHL stats cannot, however they are not the perfect, all-illuminating representation of a team or player’s value, either, that some who champion these stats as if they were a new religion would have you believe. CLICK HERE TO CONTINUE READING FULL POST

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